What's Up With Today's Paradoxical Fed Reaction? Tough day for the casual observer to try to make sense of what happened. There's even some disagreement between the not-so-casual observers. Let's focus on what we can know for sure. The Fed didn't hike. The market was pricing a 1 in 3 chance of a hik

Today the Federal Reserve decided not to hike rates, but the hawks have moved their chess pieces: three Fed members wanted to hike rates at this meeting, which means September is in play for the first rate hike after the cut cycle ended. However, the long end of the bond market has already done the

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged that his limited guidance might have been a factor in rising market rates, but said whatever increased volatility can be attributed to the changes is more than offset by the benefit of a more nimble central bank.